AI Deception: How Tech Companies Are Fooling Us
Summary
TLDRLe script du vidéo explore les abus de l'étiquettage 'par IA' par des entreprises, illustrant par des exemples historiques et contemporains comment la 'lessive à AI' peut induire en erreur les investisseurs et les consommateurs. Il analyse les conséquences de cette surévaluation, y compris la désillusion et le chômage accru, et interroge les promesses réelles de l'IA, soulignant la nécessité d'une approche审慎.
Takeaways
- 🤖 L'invention du 'Mechanical Turk' en 1770 par Wolfgang von Kempelen a trompé les gens en faisant croire que c'était un automate jouant aux échecs, mais en réalité c'était un homme qui manipulait le système.
- 🛒 Amazon a utilisé des travailleurs humains pour étiqueter des vidéos et assurer des caisses sortantes, ce qui contraste avec la promesse de leur technologie 'Just Walk Out' basée sur l'IA.
- 🔍 L'étiquetage 'AI' est souvent utilisé pour créer de la publicité trompeuse, comme dans les cas de 'AI washing' où les entreprises exagèrent ou faussent les capacités de leurs produits IA.
- 📈 L'investissement dans l'IA a augmenté sept fois entre 2015 et 2022, mettant la pression sur les entreprises pour intégrer l'IA, même si cela n'est pas toujours nécessaire ou efficace.
- 💡 L'IA peut être utilisée pour générer du contenu trompeur, comme des e-mails de phishing ou des appels téléphoniques automatisés, ce qui facilite la vie des escrocs.
- 📊 L'IA est souvent utilisée pour remplacer les travailleurs humains, ce qui est en contradiction avec les affirmations initiales selon lesquelles l'IA créerait plus d'emplois qu'elle n'en supprime.
- 🏢 Il y a eu un nombre important de licenciements dans l'industrie technologique, et selon certains, l'IA joue un rôle plus important dans ces licenciements que les dirigeants d'entreprises sont prêts à admettre.
- 🌐 L'IA est utilisée pour des tâches créatives, mais parfois avec des résultats médiocres, comme la génération d'images qui sont de mauvaise qualité.
- 💼 L'IA est sur le point de remplacer certaines professions, comme les analystes de données ou les ingénieurs juniors, ce qui peut entraîner des changements significatifs dans l'emploi.
- 🚀 Bien que l'IA ait rencontré des obstacles temporaires, comme les limitations de calcul, des progrès tels que l'amélioration de l'efficacité des modèles peuvent propulser l'IA vers de nouveaux sommets.
- 🔮 Il est important de garder une approche prudente face aux promesses de l'IA et de considérer tous les aspects d'une histoire, car l'IA est encore en train de se développer et d'impacter notre société.
Q & A
Qu'est-ce que le 'Mechanical Turk' et comment fonctionnait-il?
-Le 'Mechanical Turk' était une machine jouant aux échecs conçue par Wolfgang von Kempelen en 1770. Elle semblait jouer tout seul, mais en réalité, c'était un homme caché sous la table qui manipulait les pièces, ce qui le faisait un hoax.
Quel système de caisse sans file d'attente a introduit Amazon en 2016?
-Amazon a introduit le système 'Just Walk Out' en 2016, permettant aux clients de prendre des articles dans le magasin et de partir sans avoir à scanner manuellement les articles à la caisse.
Comment fonctionnait le système 'Just Walk Out' d'Amazon en réalité?
-Le système 'Just Walk Out' était en fait géré par des milliers de personnes en Inde qui surveillaient et marquaient des vidéos pour assurer des caisses précises, ce qui était une forme de tromperie car la publicité suggérait que le système était entièrement géré par l'IA.
Quelle est la différence entre le 'Mechanical Turk' et le système 'Just Walk Out' d'Amazon?
-La différence principale est que le 'Mechanical Turk' était un trucage évident avec un homme manipulant les pièces, tandis que le système 'Just Walk Out' d'Amazon cachait l'implication humaine derrière une façade d'intelligence artificielle.
Quel est le nom de l'effet psychologique décrit par le cycle de hype de Gartner?
-Le cycle de hype de Gartner décrit l'effet psychologique où les humains surestiment l'impact d'une nouvelle technologie révolutionnaire, créant un pic d'enthousiasme suivi d'un désenchantement.
Quels sont les impacts réels de l'IA sur les emplois selon le script?
-Selon le script, l'IA est impliquée dans les licenciements massifs dans l'industrie technologique et pourrait potentiellement remplacer des emplois à mesure qu'elle devient plus efficace, même si cela n'est pas encore pleinement réalisé.
Quel est le nom de l'effet psychologique qui se produit après que la technologie a été surestimée et que le marché s'effondre?
-L'effet psychologique qui se produit après est appelé 'le gouffre du désenchantement' dans le cycle de hype de Gartner.
Quels sont les secteurs d'emploi qui pourraient être affectés par l'IA selon le script?
-Les secteurs d'emploi tels que les services clients, les ventes et le soutien de bureau pourraient être significativement affectés par l'IA, alors que les domaines STEM, la santé et les professions seront plus résilients.
Quelle est la différence entre l'IA générative et l'IA assistive selon le script?
-L'IA générative est celle qui peut créer du contenu ou prendre des décisions, tandis que l'IA assistive est conçue pour aider les humains à améliorer leur efficacité et leur productivité.
Quels sont les exemples de tromperie ou d'échec de l'IA mentionnés dans le script?
-Des exemples incluent un chatbot de livraison qui insulte un client, des universitaires qui ont soumis un faux témoignage généré par l'IA au gouvernement australien, et des ordinateurs portables avec des unités de traitement神经e qui ne produisent pas de résultats satisfaisants.
Quel est le message final du script sur l'IA et les promesses technologiques?
-Le message final est que les promesses de l'IA ne sont pas encore pleinement réalisées et qu'il est important d'examiner tous les côtés d'une histoire pour comprendre si nous avons une véritable avancée technologique ou une tromperie.
Outlines
🤖 L'illusion technologique et l'AI fantôme
Le premier paragraphe aborde l'histoire du 'Mechanical Turk', une machine trompeuse qui simulait le jeu d'échecs, et la compare à des cas récents comme le système de caisse sans file d'attente d'Amazon, qui était en réalité soutenu par des milliers de personnes en Inde. Il souligne comment l'AI est souvent utilisée pour créer de la publicité trompeuse, ce qui peut causer un manque de confiance et nuire à ceux qui travaillent réellement dans le domaine de l'IA. Le script mentionne également les problèmes liés à l'utilisation de l'AI dans les arnaques et la publicité trompeuse d'Aura pour protéger contre cela.
📈 L'AI washing et les conséquences de la surévaluation technologique
Le deuxième paragraphe discute de l'AI washing, où les entreprises créent un buzz autour de leur utilisation de l'IA sans avoir de résultats tangibles. Il mentionne que 36% des entreprises de l'indice S&P 500 ont mentionné l'IA dans leurs rapports financiers, ce qui reflète une augmentation des investissements dans l'IA. Cependant, cela conduit à des promesses non tenues et à des conséquences négatives, comme la perte de confiance des clients et une pression pour que d'autres entreprises intègrent l'IA sans une véritable compréhension de son utilisation.
🚀 Le cycle de l'hype autour de l'IA et ses impacts
Le troisième paragraphe examine le cycle de l'hype autour de l'IA selon le modèle du cycle de Gartner, qui décrit les réactions humaines face à une nouvelle technologie. Il suggère que nous sommes à la fin du pic des attentes gonflées et à l'entrée de la déprime de l'illusion. Ce paragraphe souligne que les échecs de l'IA, comme les chatbots inutiles ou les erreurs de génération de contenu, peuvent entraîner de la déception, mais aussi que la véritable valeur de l'IA émergera après la désillusion et la fatigue de l'hype.
🛠 L'impact de l'IA sur l'emploi et la réalité des promesses technologiques
Le quatrième paragraphe explore l'impact de l'IA sur l'emploi, montrant que les promesses d'AI comme un assistant créant de nouveaux emplois ne se concrétisent pas comme prévu. Il mentionne les nombreux licenciements dans l'industrie technologique et comment l'IA est utilisée pour optimiser les équipes et les structures, ce qui peut conduire à un nombre réduit d'employés effectuant plus de travail avec l'aide de l'IA. Le paragraphe conclut en demandant aux gens de réévaluer les promesses de l'IA et de considérer si nous avons une véritable révolution technologique ou simplement une autre illusion.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡AI
💡Machine à échecs mécanique
💡Juste Walk Out
💡AI washing
💡Génération de texte
💡Bacth de l'IA
💡Intelligence artificielle générative
💡Chômage technologique
💡Protection des données
💡Effet de serre
💡Cycle de Gartner
Highlights
Le 1770 a vu l'invention par le Hongrois Wolfgang von Kempelen du 'Mechanical Turk', une machine de jeu d'échecs qui simulait le jeu automatique, mais était en réalité manipulée par un homme caché.
En 2016, Amazon a lancé 'Just Walk Out', un système de caisse automatisé basé sur l'IA, qui a été révélé être en partie opéré par des humains en Inde.
L'advertising d'Amazon sur 'Just Walk Out' était trompeur, masquant l'implication humaine, et a créé un désarroi jusqu'à ce que l'entreprise révèle l'utilisation de 1000 personnes en Inde en 2023.
L'IA est souvent utilisée pour soutenir les arnaques, en générant des textes convaincants pour pister les victimes.
L'entreprise sponsorisante Aura offre une protection contre les menaces en ligne, y compris la soumission de demandes de désabonnement auprès des courtiers de données.
L'expression 'IA' est largement utilisée dans l'industrie, mais l'abus du terme conduit à une 'lavage d'IA' où les entreprises peuvent exagérer ou mentir sur les capacités de leurs produits IA.
L'industrie des technologies est en proie à une pression pour intégrer l'IA, même si cela signifie suivre les autres sans résultats tangibles.
Des entreprises ont été accusées de fraude pour fausser la publicité de leurs capacités en IA, comme le cas de la firme d'investissement Delia.
Les unités de traitement neuronal (NPU) sont de plus en plus courantes dans les ordinateurs portables et les ordinateurs de bureau, mais leur performance en IA n'est pas toujours à la hauteur des attentes.
L'IA est souvent promue comme un outil d'assistance pour les humains plutôt que comme un substitut, mais la réalité montre que des postes sont déjà en danger.
Des chercheurs en AI ont utilisé des générateurs de vidéos AI pour créer des scénarios qui ont conduit à des demandes d'emploi et des licenciements massifs dans l'industrie tech.
L'IA est en train de révolutionner le marché du travail, avec des projections montrant que 12 millions de travailleurs américains pourraient devoir changer de métier d'ici 2030.
Les promesses de l'IA en termes de création d'emplois et de résolution de problèmes mondiaux ne sont pas encore entièrement réalisées, et il est important de garder une approche prudente.
Des entreprises comme IBM et UPS ont admis que l'IA joue un rôle dans les licenciements, malgré des déclarations initiales de PR pour sauvegarder la face.
L'auteur souligne que bien que l'on ait assisté à des progrès exponentiels dans le domaine de l'IA, il est crucial d'examiner tous les aspects d'une histoire pour comprendre l'impact réel.
Transcripts
this video is brought to you by Aura hi
welcome to another episode of Cold
Fusion in 1770 Hungarian author and
inventor wolf Gan Von kemplin built and
unveiled a self-operating chess playing
machine called The Mechanical Turk in
demonstrations around Europe his chess
playing invention won most of its games
against actual human chess players and
it's even said that it went on to beat
players like Napoleon and Benjamin
Franklin naturally The Invention was
extremely popular a Marvel of its day
however it was actually just some guy
under the table secretly operating the
machine in other words it was a hoax
some 250 years later in 2016 Amazon
pulled a similar stunt their checkout
system called just walk out allowed
customers to Simply grab items from the
store and leave under this system
customers didn't have to manually scan
their items at the checkout the
transactions and Logistics were
automatically taken care of behind the
scenes by AI An Elegant combination of
Compu Vision sense of fusion and deep
learning or was it just like the
Mechanical Turk all was not as it seemed
Amazon's so-called AI technology was
actually powered by a thousand people in
India watching and labeling videos to
ensure accurate checkouts now humans
labeling data is often how AI models are
first trained and that's fine but the
point is the advertising was misleading
even by 2022 these 1,000 people were
still manually reviewing 70% of of
transactions in 20 Amazon go stores 40
Amazon fresh grocery stores and two
Whole Food
stores although some saw it as dystopian
Amazon promoted their just walkout
technology as a utopian magical solution
powered by Ai and here in lies the
problem companies often leave out
critical information in the fine print
it wasn't until 2023 that Amazon mention
the use of the a thousand people in
India and it gets worse according to a
report by the information other
companies were swindled too quote 30
stores operated by other companies in
the US sports stadiums 12 airports and
one University all used Amazon's walk
out
technology and this is where things
become murky when companies promis
revolutionary technology but don't
follow up on them it creates distrust
but it can even spoil it for those who
are doing legitimate work in the field
with the AI Revolution that we've seen
over the past couple of years there
needs to be a more critical look at
what's happening with AI in this episode
we'll see the reasons for the AI hype
and its consequences we'll look at if
there is indeed an AI bubble and what
real world impact that might be having
this includes companies releasing
half-baked AI products but also
simultaneously replacing actual humans
with AI it's a dichotomy of the industry
so sit back and relax as we make sense
of it
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Fusion to get started on a 2-e free
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States okay so let's
continue no it's not just you the term
AI is really being thrown around
everywhere for older cold fusion viewers
you'd know that I've been covering AI
for the good part of a decade now before
2022 the word artificial intelligence
was limited to Industry verbage in
obscure research papers the general
public didn't know or care and even as
late as 21 when I covered gpt3 there was
a lot of people that thought I was just
making it up how could a computer
possibly talk like that well as you all
know after 2022 especially following the
launch of chat GPT it was a different
story from your smartphone to LinkedIn
to your local government site a lot of
organizations today will boast the term
powered by
AI while in a lot of cases it makes
sense the overuse of the term and it
being thrown around so casually is a
symptom of something called AI
washing AI washing simply put is when
companies create a fake buzz and mislead
investors by providing manipulative
information about the capabilities
limitations or risks of their AI
products or simply wholesale lie about
how and when they're using AI according
to Goldman Sachs a record 36% of S&P 500
companies mentioned AI in their Q4
earnings reports if the biggest
companies in the world are hyping it up
there's no doubt that small companies
are following suit and some without
tangible results backing up their claims
and the Investments are there to match
too from 2015 to 20122 Global corporate
AI Investments have increased seven
times a lot of companies have seen
tremendous growth in the recent AI hype
and this puts pressure on other
companies to integrate AI into their
business model or their products in
order to compete and that's even if it's
not really AI Monkey C Monkey Do For
example the Canadian investment firm
Delia claimed that that had built an AI
to predict upcoming companies and
Industry Trends despite not having any
such capabilities the SEC caught wind of
the scam and has since ordered them to
pay
$225,000 and this was for false
advertising and misleading statements
about the use of AI and I have a feeling
that this is just the start I previously
talked about the wire card fraud where
CEO Marcus Brawn boasted about having
Advanced proprietary AI throughout their
fintech products and services in reality
it was just spreadsheets in the end
there was $2 billion missing from the
books but that was a story for a
different day you might have also heard
about the npu or neural Processing Unit
it's a dedicated processor specifically
designed for AI tasks among other things
they're becoming increasingly common in
the world of PCS and laptops and
Microsoft has even claimed that we're
now in the age of the AI PC but recent
reviews of the current crop of these
products have left consumers with a bad
taste in their mouth let's talk a bit
more about AI yes the Snapdragon
processors dominate here but AI is still
very nent many people either won't use
these tasks all that much or these tasks
themselves just don't work that well yet
for example they demo generating images
of animals and they highlighted how fast
the processes were versus Intel but when
I look closely at the images generated
they were all garbage the AI dogs all
had very lopsided eyes so who cares if
one of these processors is faster than
the other if they are both generating
garbage right now I just wouldn't advise
anyone buy a laptop based on its AI
capabilities a news analyst from
computer world has mentioned that these
AI PCS aren't quote all they cracked out
to be and if you're expecting something
transformative when you buy one from the
start of 2024 you're going to be
disappointed they might one day deliver
a lot of cool features just not yet end
quote but are there consequences of such
misplaced promises other than distrust
from customers companies that Miss The
Mark with AI product launches are
constantly trying to save face even the
most popular companies in the world are
not immune to mistakes perhaps the
biggest consequence of AI washing is a
certain b word that might be lurking
around the
corner almost as soon as AI started
going Uber mainstream from late 2022 a
lot of people immediately liken the
phenomenon to the dotom bubble or even
the crypto Fiasco in fact some people
still do today even when we talk about
the.com Bubble it's not the worldwide
web that was the problem because of
course you're using a right now instead
it was mostly the e-commerce side of
things which over promised reeling in
investors but underd delivered leading
to a crash when everyone realized that
the companies that they invested in
weren't making any
money with AI there's no doubt that
we'll see some more investment in the
space and Monumental growth too
according to Oppenheimer no not the one
you're thinking of who's a chief Global
Equity strategist at Goldman Sachs
research quote we believe we are in the
relatively early stages of a new
technology cycle that is likely to lead
to further outperformance end quote
Nvidia who designs the chips that are
powering big Tech's AI Revolution is
tentative proof of this their stock is
up 80% this year alone perhaps excessive
but it's indicative of what the market
thinks of AI Mark Cuban who made his
fortune during the era also doesn't see
AI as a bubble in a recent interview
with Lex fredman he expressed that the
biggest sign that we're not in a bubble
is the lack of IPOs in the AI sector
also the absence of companies with no
intrinsic value going public and the
lack of quote funky AI companies is a
key indicator he noted that the current
market doesn't exhibit such
characteristics and I think that I
largely agree with that there's
obviously some bad players in the
industry who are just trying to make a
quick Buck but there might be more to it
and here's what I mean there's a known
pattern for emerging Technologies called
the Gartner hype cycle it describes how
humans tend to be overzealous about a
new revolutionary technology we
overestimate and overshoot its impact
hype it up until the market crashes and
after the crash the real companies with
the real value come through and
spearhead the development of the new
technology until it's mature if we look
at the Gardner hype cycle for AI it
seems like we're at the closing stages
of the peak of inflated expectations and
are slowly entering the trough of
disillusionment this interpretation of
the current market means that there's
going to be a lot of disappointment
ahead the real applications of AI will
come after the hype and fatigue Fades
but but this time could be a little bit
different because at its core AI has the
ability to mimic cognitive labor a
change that no previous technology has
been able to do without intrinsic human
intervention whereas as pointed out in a
previous podcast episode during the dot
bubble there were a lot of people simply
making a random website and going public
and investors would throw money at
anything with a do at the end of its
name there's been a lot of organizations
that have been ring to launch AI
products or replace humans with AI
altogether but the ones who are hastily
adding the ever popular quote powered by
AI gimmick are failing badly and there
have been some spectacular AI failures
for example a parcel delivery firm
called dpd enabled an AI online chat for
answering questions for One customer it
was not only useless at answering
relevant questions regarding his order
but instead when asked it provided him
with a poem and swore at him this
amazing poem came forth about a dpd
chatot who who wasn't able to do
anything it was quite amazing it
appeared to even disregard its own rules
and started swearing and even started
dissing its own employer adding dpd is
the worst delivery firm in the world I
would never recommend them to anyone in
Australia a group of academics used AI
generated material as part of their
complaint submission to the Australian
parliament against four of Australia's
biggest banks of course the AI made up a
whole bunch of information including SC
scandals that never existed and
implicating deoe when they had nothing
to do with the original complaint
someone on the team didn't read the
entire submission before it went to the
Australian government so it was a huge
embarrassment and the academics were
forced to apologize this is just one of
many examples and I'm going to include a
website that keeps a running tab of
these AI blunders but on the other hand
there are companies who are integrating
AI successfully and this is where we
come to the other kind of broken promise
when it comes to AI it's not CEO's over
promising ai's usefulness but under
promising instead in other words we were
told that AI would be our assistant and
create new jobs not replace us but what
if that's just not true not about
replacing the human in the loop in fact
it's about empowering the human like
it's an assistant it's an assistant this
clip from SAA is a bit hard to believe
now even though later he did mention the
flip side yes I'm sure a lot of us use
chat GPT to help get work done on
personal projects but AI eventually
creating more jobs than it would replace
maybe not so fast you may have noticed
that since 2022 there's been a lot of
tech related layoffs The Narrative is
that this is happening due to the over
hiring during the pandemic times and
that would make sense for 2022 and even
2023 but in 2024 we're still seeing Mass
layoffs now if companies were just
struggling to make a profit the
explanation would be as simple as the
common business cycle but strangely some
of the biggest companies in the world
are seeing record profits they're almost
cyclically shedding
workers according to reports tech
companies fired 165,000 people in 2022
260,000 in 2023 and so far the
projection is 270,000 in 2024 so if
companies are doing fine why are workers
being kicked out the door well marketing
professor and author Scott Galloway
thinks quote there's something else
going on end quote in his recent blog
post dissecting the impact of AI on
corporations he mentions quote AI is
playing a larger role in layoffs than
CEOs are willing to admit end quot the
normal way we think about Job
Replacements caused by AI is that Joe
blogs is working at his computer
analyzing company figures or something
like that and then suddenly the next day
he's replaced by an AI but the truth is
it's a bit more nuanced than that as
companies slowly get better at
understanding how AI can Aid in their
operations they'll create better teams
and structure with higher outcomes
basically instead of three people doing
the work of three you'll have one person
doing the work of five with AI the
problem is that none of these companies
are being sincere about it because if
you're a CEO and you've been hyping up
AI as the single greatest thing to
happen to the industry and then you
follow it up with a memo that you've
laid off 30% of your staff because of AI
the hypocrisy becomes clear but in 2024
it seems like the truth is slowly coming
out and there's hints everywhere IBM
made headlines when CEO arvind chrish
mentioned that they're planning to pause
hiring roles that could be replaced with
AI same with UPS where recently their
CEO Carol Tom acknowledged that AI is
playing a part in employee layoffs and
this came after UPS had the largest
layoff in its 116e history 12,000
workers in both cases spokes people
later clarified saying quote AI is not
replacing workers end quote which is
basically PR talk to save face in fact a
Shopify employee broke their
non-disclosure agreement to expose that
the company has been secretly firing
employees because of AI the shift is
even having an impact far outside the
tech industry TV and media producer
Tyler Perry was building an $800 million
Studio expansion but paused its
construction after he saw the results of
open aiora an AI video generator he made
the remark quote I am very very
concerned that in the near future a lot
of jobs are going to be lost end quote
in the last couple of years you probably
would have heard this phrase a bit AI
will not replace humans but humans who
utilize AI replace humans who don't
there's definitely some truth to it but
some jobs will be at risk regardless we
don't have to imagine this it is already
happening Mega caps like meta and
alphabet they are shrinking their
workforces and and shrinking their
hiring it's this idea that senior AI
researchers or data analysts they can do
more with Gen than an army of Junior
Engineers who code a recent report from
Mackenzie found that around 12 million
us workers may need to switch jobs by
2030 lower wage workers are 14 times
more likely to be impacted stem
Healthcare Builders and professional
Fields will continue to add jobs but
generative AI could change work
significantly for occupations like
customer service and sales and office
support there's been repeated reports of
how AI will be adding hundreds of
millions of jobs in the next decade and
how it's going to positively impact GDP
while by some miracle this could happen
right now as has been the case in many
times in history the train will leave
the station without telling us whether
we're aware to jump on board or not is
the
question so wrapping this all up I do
have to mention that in no way am I
saying that all forms of AI and all of
these giant corporations are elaborate
hoaxes in fact on this channel I've been
making videos about AI progress for the
better part of a decade now and I've
seen exponential progress right in front
of my eyes and so will many of you we
may have hit a temporary bottleneck when
it comes to compute but all it takes is
a breakthrough in model efficiency and
the curve continues upwards but I just
think that it's important to still have
a cautious approach when it comes to
looking at all sides of a story I'm also
working on a video that's all about the
positive real life impacts of AI so
hopefully that's going to balance things
out a
bit so far it seems like the promises of
AI are yet to be fully realized whether
that's creating and not taking jobs
solving Global issues or even providing
us with a Dependable AI customer service
spot that doesn't swear at us with such
big and bold promises from these
companies over the years it's important
for all of us to ask ourselves do we
have technological gold a trojan horse
or a chess master hiding under a
table anyways that's about it from me my
name is toogo and You' been watching
cold fusion if you did like that episode
feel free to subscribe there's plenty of
other interesting stuff on the Channel
all right so I'll catch you again soon
cheers guys have a good
one a better
future Heaven Help Us make a better
[Music]
future cold fusion it's new
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